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Giants Week 14 fantasy outlook: Stick with Green Bay’s defense

The Giants still allow many sacks

New England Patriots v New York Giants
Tommy DeVito
Photo by Al Bello/Getty Images

If you’re in the hunt for the fantasy playoffs in your league, the New York Giants’ offense is probably not the way you want to go. Figuring out how to use Green Bay Packers players properly is tricky, though. Between injuries and inconsistent performance, even Jordan Love’s hot streak hasn’t always been enough to propel his skill position players to fantasy startinghood.

Let’s go through Start ‘Em, Sit ‘Em, fantasy season finale edition.

Start ‘em

  • Love: Surprisingly, the Giants rank 13th in fantasy points allowed to quarterbacks this season. Love has gone over 23 fantasy points in each of the past two weeks and had over 18 in the two before that. He has eight touchdowns and no picks over his last three games. He’s not a bad option against the Giants.
  • Saquon Barkley: The Packers are tied for 22nd in fantasy points per game allowed to running backs. While New England held Barkley to just 6.20 PPR points, the Giants’ back has seen at least three targets in each of his games this season, augmenting his rushing totals. Even though it’s been a struggle for Barkley between the tackles, he’s usually good for a few big runs per game to boost his yardage total. I’m not betting the over on his yards (whatever it may be), but trust him against a team that allows 4.9 receptions for 29.3 receiving yards per game against running backs.
  • Packers’ defense: The last three defenses the Giants faced with Tommy DeVito at the helm posted 9, 9, and 14 fantasy points. DeVito has been sacked 20 times during that span. With a stingy defense against quarterbacks, the Packers’ defense is worth a start this week.
  • A.J. Dillon: With Aaron Jones ailing, Dillon may see another start this week. He hasn’t been particularly impressive even as the starter, but the Giants rank 24th in PPR points per game allowed to running backs. Dillon should be an RB2 or FLEX option this week.
  • Packers’ receivers: The Giants rank 27th in PPR points per game allowed to receivers. That would be good news for Christian Watson, who has posted back-to-back 20+ PPR point games — if he could stay on the field. The second-year man is dealing with another hamstring issue, so his status for Week 14 is up in the air. Romeo Doubs has been a solid FLEX option throughout the season, but he could have WR2 appeal if Watson can’t go. Jayden Reed is another player to look out for, although as the Packers’ primary slot receiver, he draws the Giants’ toughest matchup in Cor’Dale Flott.

Sit ‘em

  • DeVito: The Packers allow the eighth-fewest fantasy points to quarterbacks, and I wouldn’t expect DeVito to buck any trends on that score. He put up just 8.24 points against New England before the bye week. Still, if he can continue his Week 12 connection with Jalin Hyatt, perhaps he’ll be a viable QB2 option moving forward.
  • Giants’ receivers: The Packers are as stingy against receivers as against quarterbacks. If DeVito and Hyatt can run it back in this game, then Hyatt can become a starting option moving forward, but it’s too soon to make that determination. In general, no Giants pass-catching option has been reliable this season.
  • Anders Carlson: The Packers kicker has been meh all season. He had a strong game against Kansas City, but MetLife Stadium is never the easiest place to kick in December.

Around the NFL

  • Tank Dell’s season-ending fractured fibula will give more targets to Nico Collins, Noah Brown, and Dalton Schultz. The Texans’ passing game is generally a strong weekly bet even without Dell’s explosiveness. However, the Jets have the stingiest defense against receivers. That makes the running backs and tight ends the more appealing options since the Jets rank 26th and 19th against those two positions, respectively.
  • Which streaming options should you choose at quarterback if you need one due to injury or poor matchups? Matthew Stafford and Geno Smith are bad options, as they’re facing the first- and third-ranked defenses against quarterbacks this week. Jake Browning is interesting coming off a 26.66-point performance, as he faces the 23rd-ranked Colts defense and still has the elite Bengals receivers at his disposal. Gardner Minshew faces the 22nd-ranked Bengals defense coming off a 300-yard performance.
  • De’Von Achane is back to his old tricks. After logging just two touches in the previous six weeks due to injury, Achane put up a 25.30-point PPR performance against Washington in Week 13. His 20 touches exceed Raheem Mostert’s 14. Achane should be your starter this week and in the fantasy playoffs, while Mostert is an RB2 with more volatility.
  • With Justin Jefferson back from injured reserve, it’s hard to know how to manage Jordan Addison. Addison was already quiet in his previous four games, and now he’ll bump down to the Vikings’ second receiver. With T.J. Hockenson also a popular target in the Vikings’ pass-catcher room, Addison is looking more like a low-end FLEX option, especially after Josh Dobbs’ four-interception performance in Week 12.
  • Rashee Rice has now put up back-to-back strong fantasy performances. He’s seen 19 combined targets over the past two games, posting 16 receptions for 171 yards and a score. With Kansas City’s offense scuffling, Rice should continue to see volume in Patrick Mahomes’ effort to find reliable targets other than Travis Kelce. The Bills rank 10th in fantasy points allowed to receivers, which leaves Rice as a WR3 with WR2 upside for this week, but he has WR2 potential in the playoffs.