The Giants’ draft position has been, and remains, extremely volatile. They’re in a clump of teams with 4 to 6 wins, and a single win or loss could dramatically shift any of the teams’ draft slot.
The Giants’ draft position could have ranged anywhere from second overall all the way down to the late teens or 20’s if they made the playoffs. The Giants have been officially eliminated from the playoffs, and the best record they can have is 7-10, which puts their draft floor at 15th overall. The Giants are still (theoretically) in the running for the second overall pick. That would involve the Giants losing out while the Arizona Cardinals, Washington Commanders, and New England Patriots all win at least one more game (two for the Cardinals). It isn’t unreasonable to think the Giants will lose to the Los Angeles Rams and Eagles over the next two weeks, but the Cardinals, Commanders, and Patriots all winning out seems pretty unlikely.
ESPN gives the Giants a 72.8 percent chance of finishing in the top five, which likely means the fifth overall pick.
The #Giants are currently projected to pick fifth in the NFL draft, per ESPN Analytics. They have a 72.8% chance of finishing in the top 5.— Jordan Raanan (@JordanRaanan) December 26, 2023
The last six weeks have done a good job of showing who the Giants are as we approach the 2024 offseason.
The team has shown that they can’t keep up with top (or even average) teams when they play a clean game. We saw that against Dallas and New Orleans, as well as in the first half against Philadelphia.
However, the Giants’ play has also shown that they have pieces that allow them to be dynamic when they’re able to take advantage of opportunities. Wan’Dale Robinson, Jalin Hyatt, and Darius Slayton are all capable of creating explosive plays given one-on-one opportunities. They also have the ability to exploit mistakes to create turnovers or drive-killing sacks on defense.
Tankathon currently lists the Giants as having the fifth-most capital in the upcoming draft, including five picks in the top 105. That presents the Giants with a tremendous opportunity to infuse talent into their roster over the coming months. Fans are clearly frustrated with how 2023 has gone for the Giants — all the more so, given the expectations heaped on the Giants after 2022.
The Giants could be just a few key pieces away from being consistently competitive without having to rely on opponent mistakes. They should be able to find a blue chip player at a position of need with their first pick and could potentially add immediate contributors with their next three or four picks.
Looking down the road, there’s reason for optimism regarding the Giants’ future, and a well-executed offseason could allow the Giants to rebound from a largely dismal 2023.