clock menu more-arrow no yes mobile

Filed under:

Giants DraftKings Week 16 prop bets: Eagles over

The Giants are just what the Eagles need to get back on track

New York Giants v Philadelphia Eagles
Boston Scott
Photo by Mitchell Leff/Getty Images

All it will take is a date with the New York Giants for the “What’s wrong with the Eagles?” questions to subside. Truthfully, it took a long time for the NFL to notice that these are not your 2022 Philadelphia Eagles. Injuries and lesser play from the offensive line and secondary have been big contributors. Still, there is no evidence that the Giants can stop the Eagles even when Philadelphia is reeling, especially at Lincoln Financial Field, where the Giants have not won a game since 2013.

Although you may hesitate to bet on the Eagles due to their three-game skid, that should be less of a concern when the opponent is the Giants. With that in mind, here are your best prop bets for Giants-Eagles, courtesy of DraftKings Sportsbook.

Boston Scott: Anytime TD (+330)

Scott has played eight career games against the Giants — and scored 10 combined touchdowns. He has scored at least one touchdown in every one of those games. Because of this trend, the Eagles seemingly play him in the red zone against the Giants.

Darius Slayton: Over 26.5 receiving yards (-115)

Per DVOA tracking, the Eagles allow an average of 86.3 receiving yards per game to the opponent’s No. 1 receiver, 50.5 to the No. 2 receiver, and 60.3 to the No. 3 receiver. Though the Giants’ passing game is not nearly as strong and Darren Waller is the focal point of the offense, Slayton received eight targets last week even in Waller’s return. I’m going with the over on Slayton.

Saquon Barkley: Under 77.5 rush + receiving yards (-115)

Barkley averages 91.2 scrimmage yards per game this season, but he’s gone under 77.5 yards in two of his past three games. The Giants’ run-blocking is struggling, and the Eagles rank 14th in rush DVOA vs. running backs and 13th in passing yards allowed to running backs. Barkley has averaged 3.6 yards per carry over his past three games. I’m taking the under.

Jalen Carter: Over 0.25 sacks (+130)

Carter’s 12.1% pressure rate is tied for eighth among 69 qualified interior defensive linemen (min. 225 pass rush snaps). His 1.72% sack rate ranks 13th. Carter normally lines up at 3, 3i, or 4-technique, and he alternates sides of the line regularly. Giants guards Ben Bredeson and Justin Pugh rank 60th and 62nd, respectively, out of 65 qualifiers in Pro Football Focus pass-blocking grade. Center John Michael Schmitz ranks 30th out of 35 qualified centers. That is a recipe for disaster in the middle. I’d be shocked if Carter doesn’t land at least half a sack.

Giants: To score between 11-20 points (+125)

Though the Giants managed just six points against the Saints, the Eagles’ back end is a far cry from the Saints’. I expect DeVito to be under fire all game, but like in the Dallas game, he’ll manage to throw a touchdown pass or two, perhaps when the game is already out of reach. This is the point band Vegas favors, but it’s likely your best bet. If you want to go between 0-10 for +155, that’s probably a reasonable bet, as well.

Giants: Will not record a sack (+550)

The Eagles’ offensive line is not what it was last year in terms of pressure allowed, but they’re still tied for 10th in allowing 2.4 sacks per game. the same mark as in 2022 (although they ranked 18th in that category last year). The Giants have been held without a sack in five games this season, and they rank 31st in the NFL with 1.7 sacks per game. The implied probability of +550 is 15.4%, while the Giants have been held without a sack in 35.7% of their games. Good odds.

Same-game parlay: Scott anytime TD + Jalen Hurts over 275.5 pass and rush yards + Darren Waller over 37.5 receiving yards (+1200)

The Scott leg of the bet was already explained above. It’s sometimes questionable whether any given game will be a Hurts passing or running game, but he averages 238.2 passing yards per game and 38.7 rushing yards per game, which adds up to over 275.5. Waller had 40 receiving yards last week despite the total lockdown the defense placed on the Giants’ pass-catchers, and he’s also gone over 37.5 receiving yards in five of his eight full games played.