The Giants’ draft slot varied pretty wildly over the 24 (or so) hours surrounding their fifth win. They exited their bye week with the seventh overall pick, that rose to the fifth pick thanks to wins by the New York Jets and New Orleans Saints. The Giants then beat the Packers, dropping down to 9th overall, then the Tennessee Titans upset the Miami Dolphins at home to fall to ninth themselves, boosting the Giants to eighth.
The Giants’ eighth pick is due to strength of schedule tiebreakers.
The Giants recent winning streak is a bright spot for fans looking for something to feel good about in a season that started as a waking nightmare. But it could also have consequences in 2024 and beyond. The Giants are fun again, and the last month harkens back to 2022. However, it’s also pretty undeniable that the roster lacks both a breadth and depth of talent and slipping in the draft could make it harder to add young talent in the draft.
It’s come into vogue to argue that good players can be found anywhere and investing a higher pick doesn’t necessarily mean the player will be better — both of which statements are absolutely true.
However, it also can’t be argued that a higher pick gives the team more options from which to choose, while a lower pick takes options off the board. The Detroit Lions finished 2020 with a 5-11 record while the Giants just missed the playoffs with a 6-10 record. The Lions picked seventh overall, while the Giants landed at 11th (before their trade down). That afforded the Lions the opportunity to choose between Penei Sewell, DeVonta Smith, Patrick Surtain II, and Jaycee Horn, in addition to Micah Parsons and Rashawn Slater.
Tankathon currently lists the Giants as sixth in draft capital with picks 8, 39, 44 (via Seattle), 70, 105, 144, and 185.
Good players can certainly be found there, but that draft capital could also dry up quickly if the team determines that they need to trade up and secure a quarterback as a foundational piece moving forwards. They would need to get around the QB-needy Commanders, Raiders, and Jets, which could involve moving all the way up to third overall.
The Giants will face the Saints on the in Week 15 on a short turnaround. That game looks decidedly winnable thanks to the Saints’ own recent struggles and Tommy DeVito’s metamorphosis into the Giants’ own Gardner Minshew (save the White Goodman mustache). A win in that game would put the Giants firmly in playoff contention, with the potential of dropping them from the top 10 down to (at least) 19th overall.