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Giants DraftKings Week 12 prop bets: Overtime game?

This is a battle of the two lowest-scoring teams in the NFL

NFL: NOV 19 Giants at Commanders
Saquon Barkley
Photo by Mark Goldman/Icon Sportswire via Getty Images

The Week 12 game between the New York Giants and New England Patriots is somewhat difficult to predict. The paradigms we’ve come to expect from the Patriots have largely been ripped to shreds this season, especially on the defensive side of the football. Meanwhile, the Giants’ defense would be expected to have a good game this week considering the Patriots’ anemic offense, but with Dexter Lawrence nursing a hamstring issue, there’s always the threat of a get-right game for New England.

I went 2-for-6 on my prop bets last week, which is pretty bad, but I hit the same-game parlay for just the second time this season. Saquon Barkley led the way by going over 69.5 rushing yards and scoring two touchdowns, while Darius Slayton’s downfield speed was finally utilized again.

Here are my preferred Week 12 prop bets for Giants-Patriots.

Tommy DeVito: Over 177.5 passing yards (+110)

The Bill Belichick mystique against young quarterbacks could very well rear its ugly head. Or... maybe it won’t. With an extremely poor cornerback trio and a porous pass defense, New England may finally be susceptible to young passers. The Giants’ game plan should be pass-first, and DeVito showed against Washington that he has the wherewithal to stand in the pocket and take chances downfield.

Demario Douglas: Over 46.5 receiving yards (-115)

When Kendrick Bourne went down for the season, Douglas took over as the default No. 1 receiver. While that doesn’t mean much in such a poor offense, Douglas has gone over 46.5 yards in the two games since Bourne was injured. He’s also seen 27 targets in his last four games, or nearly seven targets per game. The Giants rank 23rd in DVOA against No. 1 receivers, but they’re allowing an average of 8.9 receptions for 88.0 yards per game to those receivers.

Barkley: Over 20.5 receiving yards (-110)

I think the Giants will try to get Barkley involved in the passing game again, perhaps even downfield like on his first touchdown catch last week against Washington. Barkley has gone over 20.5 receiving yards in four of his games this season. The Patriots rank 29th in DVOA against running backs out of the backfield, allowing an average of 5.5 catches for 33.2 yards.

Patriots: Under 16.5 points (+136)

The Patriots score 14.1 points per game, and we don’t even know who their quarterback will be. Even though the Giants allow 25.9 points per game, it will be difficult to move the football with whichever quarterback New England puts out there. I don’t think the Patriots get in the end zone more than once.

Game to go into overtime (+1200)

Why not? It’s a battle of two bad offenses.

Same-game parlay: DeVito over 177.5 passing yards + DeVito over 0.5 passing TDs + Giants to win by 1-6 points + Game total under 33.5 total points (+2400)

This might seem ironic given that I was the only Big Blue View writer to pick the Patriots in the game. Maybe you can just call it covering all my bases, or maybe it’s what I hope will happen vs. what I think will happen (you determine which one is which). I already picked DeVito to throw for more than 177.5 yards, and I think he will throw a touchdown. This game is likely to be close, making the closest point differential the most reasonable pick. These teams average a combined 27.6 points per game. I like the +2400 spread with a 4% implied probability.