I have been so inconsistent this year. Last week was another terrible week for me picking games, 3-12-1. Hopefully I can turn it around down the stretch.
Washington (-1.5) at Dallas Cowboys
Washington is tough and they are always in the game, but they are pretty beat up and the Cowboys look like they might be getting back Tyron Smith, they have Dan Bailey back. I like the Cowboys here at home on Thursday night.
Pick: Cowboys win out-right
Detroit Lions (+3) at Baltimore Ravens
The Baltimore Ravens haven’t been very good on offense they are dead last in the league in pass yards and 31st in total yardage, but have been able to parlay a +11 turnover ratio. I think this game will be close and I’ll take the points.
San Francisco 49ers (+3) at Chicago Bears
The Jimmy Garoppolo era begins here. I’ll take the 49ers.
Minnesota Vikings (+3) at Atlanta Falcons
This game will be won on third down. The Vikings give up a fantastic 28.5 conversion rate on third down the Falcons are giving up 39.1 percent. I think the Vikings are legitimately a talented team on both sides of the ball with their biggest question mark being their quarterback. A quarterback who is playing very well right now 14 touchdown passes with 5 interceptions.
New England Patriots (-8.5) at Buffalo Bills
The Bills have a pretty good pass defense and don’t turn the ball over much. I think they could keep this one close here at home, but I don’t think they can win.
Denver Broncos (-1.5) at Miami Dolphins
The wheels have fallen off the Broncos’ bus and they are carrying a -83 point differential. They haven’t scored more than 23 points in the last seven games.
Houston Texans (+7) at Tennessee Titans
The Titans rely on their run game and the Texans have one of the best rush defenses in the game. I think this game will be lower scoring and fairly close.
Indianapolis Colts (+9.5) at Jacksonville Jaguars
I’ll take the 10 points. I don’t trust the Jaguars offense enough to consistently cover double-digit point spreads.
Tampa Bay Buccaneers (-1.5) at Green Bay Packers
The Packers are home underdogs to the Tampa Bay Buccaneers? It’s not who you play but when you play them. I’ll take the Buccaneers.
Kansas City Chiefs (-3.5) at New York Jets
The Jets are actually playing better than the Chiefs over the last month than the Chiefs and they are getting 3.5 points at home. This is my favorite play of the week.
Carolina Panthers (+4) at New Orleans Saints
The Panthers are 5-1 on the road this year and on a four game win streak. The Panthers are No. 3 in the league against the rush and the Saints resurgence as come mostly from their ability to rush the ball, the Panthers could cause problems for the Saints and I see this being a close game.
Cleveland Browns (+14) at San Diego Chargers
Chargers are too inconsistent for me to feel comfortable to lay 14 points.
Los Angeles Rams (-7) at Arizona Cardinals
New York Giants (+8.5) at Oakland Raiders
Sometimes when teams go through something like this there is a bonding that occurs and a fight that hasn’t been seen before. I don’t know if the Giants will do that. I also don’t know if the Giants have enough talent to make anything happen, but the Raiders are not really a good team either. They give up a terrible third down conversion rate (45 percent) as the Giants do (41.2 percent). Neither team rushes the ball well Raiders (91.0), Giants (91.3). All of this is to say neither team is any good, which is why 8.5 points is too much.
Philadelphia (-6) at Seattle Seahawks
The Seahawks are tough at home but are hurting, still they are top 10 in both offense and defense.
Pittsburgh (-5.5) at Cincinnati Bengals
Even when the Bengals are playing their best they still have major problems with the Steelers.