Another terrible week last week is challenging my winning record for the season, but I’m barely just clinging on. Hopefully I can get a run here (and not the kind of run the Giants are on).
Tennessee Titans (+7) at Pittsburgh Steelers
Even though the Titans have a good record (6-3) there point differential is negative (-8). They run the ball well and Marcus Mariota doesn’t turn it over often. I think 7 points is too many against a Steelers team that has been extremely inconsistent this year.
Final score: Steelers 40, Titans 17
Detroit Lions (-3) at Chicago Bears
I like the Lions for more than 3. They stop the run fairly well and have been better on the road than they are at home.
Pick: Lions by more than 3
Kansas City Chiefs (-10.5) at New York Giants
The Giants’ defense has to step it up here doesn’t ity? Even the worst teams don’t always lose games by this many points. Getting 10.5 points at home is a lot and I would take the points in that situation almost all the time.
Tampa Bay Buccaneers (+1) at Miami Dolphins
Tampa is solid at home (3-2) and dreadful on the road (0-4).
Baltimore Ravens (-2) at Green Bay Packers
The Ravens have a tough pass defense and the Packers can’t throw the ball consistently with Brett Hundley.
Los Angeles Rams (+2.5) at Minnesota Vikings
This is probably the best game of the week. The Rams look like a legitimately good offense that has a fast, explosive defense. The Vikings have one of the more talented rosters in the league, but have been held back by quarterback play over the past couple of years. Is Case Keenum actually a good QB? I”m not so sure. I think the Rams are a more balanced team and will show that they are for real this week.
Pick: Rams win outright
Arizona Cardinals (-1) at Houston Texans
I think the Texans will win this game at home out-right.
Jacksonville Jaguars (-7.5) at Cleveland Browns
I think Blake Bortles will make enough mistakes to keep the Browns in the game. I’m just worried that the Browns won’t be able to score against what is maybe the league’s best defense.
Washington (+7.5) at New Orleans Saints
Washington doesn’t quite have enough to win a whole lot of games, but they are a dangerous team that is in every single game. The 7.5 points is too many to give up.
Buffalo Bills (+4.5) at Los Angeles Chargers
With Tyrod Taylor I like the Bills here, but with Nathan Peterman it makes it very difficult. The Chargers best strength is that they really an rush the passer against anyone. They have maybe the leagues best pass rushing tandem. I think they will give the rookie all he can handle.
Pick: Chargers by more than 4.5
Cincinnati Bengals (+2.5) at Denver Broncos
The Giants beat the Broncos so bad a few weeks ago that they knocked the good right out of that team. What the heck happened to this team? They looked like one of the league’s best early and have been on a steady decline. The Bengals have a lot of talent on defense and the Broncos haven’t been able to play offense at all. I like the Bengals here.
New England (-6.5) vs Oakland in Mexico City
Philadelphia Eagles (-3.5) at Dallas Cowboys
Eagles have looked like the best team in the league all year. The Cowboys running game doesn’t look the same without Elliot and Tyron Smith. Smith might not play in Sunday’s game and if so that’s a big problem.
Atlanta Falcons (-3) at Seattle Seahawks
I like Seattle here.
Week 1: 10-5
Week 2: 7-9
Week 3: 10-5
Week 4: 10-6
Week 5: 7-6-1
Week 6: 10-4
Week 7: 0-12-2
Week 8: 6-7
Week 9: 7-4-1
Week 10: 3-10-1
Season overall: 65-64-6