When we looked on Tuesday at the over/under player props being offered by Bovada for New York Giants wide receiver Odell Beckham, it was easy for me to recommend taking the “over.” The props being offered for quarterback Eli Manning present a much bigger dilemma.
Let’s take a look.
4,400 total passing yards
Manning barely surpassed that number in each of the past two seasons, with 4,410 in 2014 and 4,432 in 2015. He has only reached the 4,400-yard plateau one other time in 12 NFL seasons.
With, on paper, better receiving options at his disposal he could surpass that number again. If the Giants win more games and run the ball better, though, he might have to. I will take the “over,” but let’s call that a soft recommendation.
29.5 touchdown passes
Manning had 30 in 2014 and 35 last season. The Giants will pass to score for the most part, and I will be surprised if Manning isn’t in the 30s again. So, I’m taking the “over.”
Manning had 14 in each of the past two seasons, and has only thrown fewer than 14 once since becoming the Week 1 starter in 2005. Eli and interceptions somehow always manage to find each other. Hope for the “under,” but I would bet the “over.”