Houston Texans (-1) at New England Patriots
Down to their third-string quarterback without their best offensive weapons against the playoff-caliber Houston Texans. They can't possibly pull out this victory, can they? If Bill Belichick isn't the coach this spread is Texans -3, at least. Betting against the Patriots at home is a bold move, but I think it's still usually more about the Pros and Joes and less about the X's and O's and right now the Pats are hurting.
Denver Broncos (+3) at Cincinnati Bengals
I think the teams are pretty evenly matched, so I'll take the points.
Oakland Raiders (+1.5) at Tennessee Titans
I actually picked the Titans last week, but I think the Raiders are a talented team that hasn't yet found their groove. I think the Titans get the Raiders best effort here and the Raiders pull out the minor upset.
Arizona Cardinals (-4) at Buffalo Bills
Switching the offensive coordinator after getting lit up by the Jets is an odd move. The Cardinals offense is as good if not better than the Jets and the Bills best offensive weapon (Sammy Watkins) is not at 100 percent.
Baltimore Ravens (-1) at Jacksonville Jaguars
I'm not sure what the Jaguars implosion against the Chargers means in terms of the Packers. The Jaguars looked pretty good week 1 vs the Packers, who consequently looked extremely ordinary in Week 2 vs the Vikings. Are the Jaguars finally ascending, will their young talent every pay off? I think they have enough offense to give the Ravens some issues.
Cleveland Browns (+9.5) at Miami Dolphins
What have the Dolphins done to get the respect of being 9.5 points better than anyone?
Washington Redskins (+4.5) at New York Giants
Washington is falling apart at the seams, the Giants are riding high. Divisional game. Lots of yapping. Giants 4.5-point favorites. This screams trap game for the Giants and the Giants are on upset alert. The Giants of the last four or five years likely lose this game or struggle. Have the Giants truly turned the corner? I'm going to be pessimistic until they prove it.
Pick: Redskins cover
Detroit Lions (+7.5) at Green Bay Packers
Packers haven't been overly impressive so far this year and I feel 7.5 points is too many to give.
Minnesota Vikings (+7) at Carolina Panthers
The Vikings are hurting now, but Diggs is an emerging player and they have enough defense to keep any game close.
San Francisco 49ers (+9.5) at Seattle Seahawks
The Seahawks offense hasn't been that impressive so I'll take the points with the 49ers (who are also not that impressive).
Los Angeles Rams (+5.5) at Tampa Bay Buccaneers
The Rams defense keeps this game close.
Pick: Rams cover
Pittsburgh Steelers (+3.5) at Philadelphia Eagles
To me this week is a lot of "who are we really?" in terms around the league. What are teams actually made of. we'll find out this week with the Eagles.
New York Jets (+3) at Kansas City Chiefs
I actually think the Jets are the more talented team here.
San Diego Chargers (+3) at Indianapolis Colts
I don't trust the Colts defense to stop the Chargers even though the Chargers offense is undermanned.
Pick: Chargers cover
Chicago Bears (+7) at Dallas Cowboys
Dak Prescott and Zeke Elliot could some day be big time players, but I think they are still growing here and the Cowboys offense will hover around average. Their defense is at best average. The Bears are bad, but I still don't think the Cowboys defense will create the same kind of problems the Eagles were able to last week.
Atlanta Falcons (+3) at New Orleans Saints
Week 1: 8-7-1
Week 2: 9-7