The good folks over at Mocking The Draft have done the yeoman's work of compiling all the picks from all the "Expert" mock drafts from around the inter-google.
Why is this important? Well for one it's nice to see a break down of how often a particular player has been mocked to a particular team, in our case the New York Giants. But it also starts to show which players might be most likely to be available for the Giants to pick from at 10th overall.
As you can see, despite the call to go defense in draft, top three most common picks for the Giants are offensive players. Most common is Ezekiel Elliott (RB, Ohio State) with 17.6 percent of the picks, and then Ronnie Stanley (OT, Notre Dame) with 14.3 percent of the picks.
Just behind Stanley is Laquon Treadwell of Ole Miss with 12.1 percent of the selections.
Treadwell has long been regarded as the top receiver in the 2015 draft class, a title that came under fire Monday afternoon with his long awaited 40- yard dash at the Ole Miss Pro Day. As it turned out, Treadwell turned in a disappointing 4.65 second 40 time, and was soundly panned by the Giants' beat writers.
Yes. Unless Treadwell runs low 4.4 no WR worth Top 10 pick. And if you're picking strictly by need, massive mistake https://t.co/9uA4mfcDqk— Jordan Raanan (@JordanRaanan) March 28, 2016
Treadwell running 4.65 40 doesn't mean he can't be a good NFL player, maybe even great. But as a Top 10 pick? Need for elite speed.— Art Stapleton (@art_stapleton) March 28, 2016
But where the surprise and disappointment comes from I can't possibly tell you. Honestly, anyone with eyes who watched any Ole Miss football already knows that Laquon Treadwell is most definitely NOT a speed player.
I never expected him to break 4.55 seconds, and 4.65 looks about right to me. Treadwell's game just is not based around speed. Instead, he uses his quickness -- and he is quick. The reported low 3-cone drill time I saw was 6.78 seconds, good for just outside the top 10 in this draft class, and his 4.25 short shuttle is a full quarter second faster than DeAndre Hopkins -- to get separation out of his breaks, strong hands to make the catch, and his strength to get a clean release off the line of scrimmage. He also uses that that same strength to bully defenders at the catch point and block like an offensive lineman on runs or screen passes.
But there was more than his 40 time. Treadwell had an entire workout today -- which, as it happens, was watched by Giants general manager Jerry Reese.
To me, using a drill originally intended to test a player's ability to cover punts as the determinant as to whether a receiver is worth a particular pick is foolhardy. There have been some incredibly productive receivers who have made history while not outrunning defensive backs. Players like Hakeem Nicks, Larry Fitzgerald, Anquan Boldin, Cris Carter, and Jerry Rice were all "slow" receivers, but that didn't stop them from shredding the defenses they went up against. Just relying on a stopwatch to do your scouting overlooks the rest of their athletic skill-set, their football skill-set, and discounts how they perform under the lights.
Who knows how the draft will play out. It is a month away and a ton can happen between now and the 10th pick in the draft.