How many games will the New York Giants win in 2015? Well, we don't truthfully have any idea right now in the middle of May. We know that Las Vegas oddsmakers have set the over/under at 8.5, and that the overwhelming majority of you -- 1,874 of 2,109 voters in our poll, or 89 percent -- are taking the over.
Well, now we also know that Football Outsiders would appear to be taking the over, as well. In a piece for ESPN Insider, Aaron Schatz of Football Outsiders projects the Giants to go 9-7 and finish second in the NFC East to the Dallas Cowboys.
Here are the full projections for the NFC East:
- Dallas Cowboys 11-5 (11.2 mean wins, SOS: 18)
- New York Giants 9-7 (9.4 mean wins, SOS: 24)
- Philadelphia Eagles 9-7 (8.7 mean wins, SOS: 23)
- Washington Redskins 5-11 (5.0 mean wins, SOS: 17)
Improved health is also a big reason we have the Giants projected to improve, but there are clearly some issues in the Giants' training room. Big Blue has led the league in adjusted games lost for two straight seasons. So while this projection assumes some regression toward the mean, it doesn't assume as much as it would with other teams. And if the Giants have another season as the most injured team in the league, this forecast is clearly going to be too high.
This projection, incidentally, would get the Giants to the playoffs as a wild-card team. Schatz also noted that these are not the final Football Outsiders projections. Those will be available later in the summer in the annual Football Outsiders Almanac.