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NFL playoff picture, scenarios: New York Giants still in NFC East title chase

Let's break down the playoff picture and some of the scenarios.

Chris Trotman/Getty Images

The New York Giants saved their season Monday night with their 31-24 victory over the Miami Dolphins. That kept them tied atop the NFC East standings. Let's check the NFL playoff picture and scenarios with three games remaining.

There are, of course many combinations of things that can happen over the final three weeks. As of today, Washington would win the division based on tie-breakers. Team Rankings estimates that the Eagles have a 47.8 percent chance of winning the division, followed by the Giants at 28.8 percent and the Redskins at 21.4 percent. Five Thirty Eight puts the percentages at 44 percent for the Eagles, 31 percent for the Giants and 25 percent for Washington. The New York Times playoff simulator says the Giants win the NFC East in 28 percent of its scenarios.

That means for the first time in three years the Giants are playing meaningful football down the stretch. Even with a 6-7 record, that's worth getting excited about.

NFC East standings

NFC East Overall W-L Pct GB Div W-L Home Road Streak
Philadelphia 6-7 0.462 -- 2-2 3-3 3-4 W2
Washington 6-7 0.462 -- 2-2 5-2 1-5 W1
NY Giants 6-7 0.462 -- 2-3 3-3 3-4 W1
Dallas 4-9 0.308 2.0 3-2 1-5 3-4 L1

Washington Redskins (6-7)

Washington got its first road victory of the season Sunday over the Chicago Bears. The Redskins, though, are still just 1-5 away from Landover, Md. That is significant because the two NFC East games Washington still has to play are away from home. If the Redskins manage to win both of those games they will finish 4-2 in the division and hold that tie-breaker advantage.

Before that, however, the Redskins face the Buffalo Bills in Week 15. Rex Ryan and Co. couldn't help the Giants last weekend against the Eagles. Can they help them this time around.

Remaining schedule

12/20 -- vs. Buffalo Bills
12/26 -- @ Eagles
1/3 -- @ Cowboys

Philadelphia Eagles (6-7)

Chip Kelly's team has followed a three-game losing streak by winning two straight. They have to deal with the 11-2 Arizona Cardinals this weekend. The Eagles are at home, though, and with the Cardinals already having clinched a playoff berth Giants' fans have to hope that they don't take their foot off the gas just a bit.

The division could still come down to the Week 17 meeting at MetLife Stadium between the Giants and Eagles. That's the scenario that appears to be the Giants' best chance.

Remaining schedule

12/20 -- vs. Arizona Cardinals
12/26 -- vs. Washington Redskins
1/3 -- @ Giants

Giants (6-7)

The schedule appears daunting for the Giants. They face the unbeaten Carolina Panthers and then a Sunday Night Football road game against the 8-5 Minnesota Vikings before closing out vs. the Eagles.

If the Giants run the table that would, of course, eliminate the Eagles from contention. In that scenario, they would simply be looking for Washington to lose once.

If the Giants can split with the Panthers and Vikings, they would have to hope that 8-8 will be good enough and that their Week 17 game with Philadelphia will decide the division. The Times playoff simulator gives the Giants an 85 percent chance to win the division if they beat the Panthers and Eagles and a 57 percent chance of they lose to Carolina but win their final two games.

Remaining schedule

12/20 -- vs. Carolina Panthers
12/27 -- @ Minnesota Vikings
1/3 -- vs. Eagles