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NFL picks against the point spread: Week 14 predictions

Jesse's crystal ball continues to churn out winning picks. What does it say this week?

LeSean McCoy returns to Philly this Sunday
LeSean McCoy returns to Philly this Sunday
Brett Carlsen/Getty Images

Another good week puts me in a good position to finish out the season whether I finish strong or pull a Giants and suck it up in the final 2 minutes. The Giants have had the lead in position to win in 10 games this year and have just really found inventive ways to lose. But I digress.

Minnesota Vikings (+7.5) at Arizona Cardinals

The Vikings had a bad showing last week but they have a solid defense, a solid quarterback, and a great running game. The Cardinals are the better team and a very good team at home, but I expect the Vikings to play much better this week than they did last week.

Pick: Vikings

[EDITOR'S NOTE: A win here for Jesse against the spread, with Arizona getting a 23-20 victory.]

Pittsburgh Steelers (+3) at Cincinnati Bengals

The Bengals have been the better team all year but there is something good going on in PIttsburgh, I think they'll win this one outright.

Pick: Steelers

Buffalo Bills (-1) at Philadelphia Eagles

Will the real Eagles please stand up? I'm not sure who the Eagles are, but let's see if LeSean McCoy can have a huge revenge game. Anyway, the Bills are playing pretty well on offense and I just don't think the Eagles are that good.

Pick: Bills

Atlanta Falcons (+7.5) at Carolina Panthers

I thought the Saints would be a sneaky tough game for the Panthers last week and they almost pulled it out, but this week I don't think that's the case. The Panthers just match up very well with the Falcons who are the only team who it might be more frustrating to be a fan of than the Giants this year as they looked like an upper echelon team early in the season and now just stink.

Pick: Panthers

San Francisco 49ers (+1.5) at Cleveland Browns

Who's ready for some football? Nobody watching this game.

Pick: 49ers

Washington Redskins (+3) at Chicago Bears

The Redskins looked so bad on Monday night it's tough to imagine any team could lose to them. Unless it's the New York Giants looking to take hold of the division title. The Washington Redskins are much better at home then they are on the road and the Bears would probably win the division if they played in the NFC East this year.

Pick: Bears

Detroit Lions at St. Louis Rams (pick 'em)

Detroit is playing much better lately. Their biggest problem to me is that their coach is not a good coach, but they are talented and like I said playing well lately.

Pick: Lions

San Diego Chargers (+10) at Kansas City Chiefs

I like to take the points among-st divisional foes when they are big spreads like this, but the Chargers are playing so bad it almost made me change my mind.  Chiefs win, and I hope the Chiefs get on a hot streak and win the Super Bowl if the Giants aren't going to make it. How fun would it be to see Andy Reid win a Super Bowl after being jettisoned by the Eagles?

New Orleans (+3.5) at Tampa Bay Buccaneers

I think the Saints are going to win this game out-right.

Pick: Saints

Indianapolis Colts (+1) at Jacksonville Jaguars

I feel like the Colts are the better team and are getting points.

Pick: Colts

Tennessee Titans (+7) at New York Jets

The Titans are not a good team, but they are competitive in most games. Seven points feels like too many.

Pick: Titans

New England Patriots (-3) at Houston Texans

I want to pick the Texans because they are playing pretty well lately and the Patriots are struggling but Bill Belichick is usually very good at taking a teams best players out of the game and the Texans have two very good ones in J.J. Watt and Deandre Hopkins, and then lots of question marks.

Pick: Patriots

Oakland Raiders (+7.5) at Denver Broncos

Sometimes you just get a gut feeling that a game is going to go a certain way and this is one I have. I think the Raiders win this game outright. Sure I can look silly if they get blown out by the Broncos, but the Raiders lately, even when they were terrible, played the division very well and I think the Raiders have a couple of matchup issues for the Broncos.

Pick: Raiders

Dallas Cowboys (+7) at Green Bay Packers

The Packers are not playing good football there is always a chance they bounce back and put up a huge offensive performance, but the Cowboys defense is pretty good and the Packers lack play-makers. I think it'll be closer than 7.

Pick: Cowboys

Seattle Seahawks (-9) at Baltimore Ravens

The Seahawks are rolling and the Ravens are terrible.

Pick: Seahawks

New York Giants (-1.5) at Miami Dolphins

My guess is the Giants will be leading this game with a 1;50 to go and somehow lose the game in remarkable fashion. A botched handoff? A block field punt returned for a touchdown? Lose on a kick return for a touchdown. Maybe they will score a touchdown have it called back for holding with no time left and they lose. Who knows, but I'm sure it'll be dramatic and extremely frustrating! But I believe they keep things interesting because that's what they do.

Pick: Giants

Record Against the Spread

Week 1: 9-6-1
Week 2: 7-7
Week 3: 9-7
Week 4: 11-4
Week 5 : 7-7
Week 6: 9-4-1
Week 7: 8-6
Week 8: 6-6-2
Week 9: 7-5
Week 10: 9-5
Week 11: 8-5-1
Week 12: 7-7
Week 13: 10-6

Overall: 107-75-5