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NFL Picks Week 17: Game-by-game predictions against the spread

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Jesse picks Week 17 games against the point spread.

Kyle Orton
Kyle Orton
Denny Medley-USA TODAY Sports

This is the last week of picks and all in all I'm happy with my performance on the year. I went 8-7 last week to bring my record to 102-106-6 on the year, which sounds terrible, but considering I started the season 3-13 and through the first four weeks I was more than games under .500 I'm fairly happy with the outcome. Quite the turnaround.

Here we go with the Week 17 picks.

Carolina Panthers (-7) at Atlanta Falcons

The Atlanta Falcons started 2-8, but are actually 2-3 in their last 5 games. I don't think they win this game, but I do think they keep it within 7 points at home.

Pick: Falcons

Baltimore Ravens at Cincinnati Bengals (-6.5)

I just don't trust the Bengals against the Ravens, let alone for nearly a touchdown.

Pick: Ravens

Jacksonville Jaguars at Indianapolis Colts (-11)

The Jaguars are 3-2 in their last five games and actually look semi-competent on offense. The Colts are a finicky team, blowing out good teams one week, struggling against bad teams another. I'll take the points.

Pick: Jaguars

New York Jets at Miami Dolphins (-6)

The Dolphins can't block and the Jets can control the line of scrimmage with their talented front seven. I think it's a bad matchup for the Dolphins here and I think the Jets have a shot at winning outright let alone covering the spread.

Pick: Jets

Washington Redskins at New York Giants (-3)

I can't get a pulse on the Giants, I went against them last week and it was the best they had looked in awhile in many respects. I actually like the Giants more with RG3 playing because this seems like the kind of games the Giants lose facing a backup quarterback, but I'll stick with the Giants -3.

Pick: Giants

Cleveland Browns at Pittsburgh Steelers (-6.5)

I think the Steelers run away with this game they have been playing better and Dick Lebeau always finds ways to take advantage of poor quarterback play.

Pick: Steelers

Green Bay Packers (-2.5) at Chicago Bears

I checked this line as of Saturday and I'm surprised it's only 2.5 points after how bad the Bears looked against the Eagles. The Packers win this game big.

Pick: Packers

Buffalo Bills at New England Patriots (-8)

The Patriots have beaten the Bills something like 22 out of the last 24 games, though there have been plenty of cost contest. The Bills have the leagues best pass rush and I think they'll create enough problems for Brady to keep the game within eight points.

Pick: Bills

Tampa Bay at New Orleans (-11)

The Buccaneers are a solid team, but the Saints need this game and are at home I expect a big performance.

Pick: Saints

San Francisco at Arizona Cardinals (pick 'em)

I'd like the Cardinals +5 or even +3, but a straight pick 'em I think the 49ers are the better team and they are both playing for something.I also can't trust Carson Palmer.

Pick: 49ers

Denver Broncos (-11.5) at Oakland Raiders

The Broncos want home field advantage and they come firing out on all cylidners to get it.

Pick: Broncos

Kansas City at San Diego (-10)

The Chiefs will be playing their backups, which means no Jamaal Charles, San Diego needs the game. How do you handicap this game? Shot in the dark I say the Chiefs stay within 10 points.

Pick: Chiefs

St. Louis at Seattle Seahawks (-11.5)

The Seahawks are still a good team, but they haven't been dominating opponents as of late. The Rams though I worry won't be able to score any points and the Seahawks are still playing for something.

Pick: Seahawks

Philadelphia (-7) at Dallas

I'd really like to see the Cowboys make the playoffs in a huge must win game without Tony Romo just because that could only add more drama to the Cowboys, but I don't see it happening.

Pick: Eagles