We have spent oodles of time talking about who the New York Giants might select with the 12th overall pick in the 2014 NFL Draft. Everybody has an opinion, but we really don't know anything we didn't already know weeks ago. Forget for a second who the Giants will select. What kind of career can we expect from a player taken 12th overall?
Every player, every team and every circumstance is -- of course -- different. History, however, can tell us a few things about what we might be able to expect. So, let's let the history of the 12th overall selection in the NFL Draft be our guide. For our purposes, let's look at all of the players chosen 12th overall since the year 2000.
2002: Wendell Bryant, DT, Arizona Cardinals -- 3-year career, 9 starts, 1.5 sacks.
2003: Jimmy Kennedy, DT, St. Louis Rams -- 8-year career, 31 starts, 8.5 sacks.
2004: Jonathan Vilma, LB, New York Jets -- 10-year career (active), 121 starts, three-time Pro Bowler.
2009: Knowshon Moreno, RB, Denver Broncos -- Gained career-high 1,038 yards in 2013. Has 3,468 yards rushing and 1,401 yards receiving in five seasons.
2010: Ryan Mathews, RB, San Diego Chargers -- One-time Pro Bowler. Gained more than 1,000 yards rushing in two of his four NFL seasons. Has 137 pass receptions.
That's 14 picks, seven of whom have gone to at least one Pro Bowl. Only two players -- Bryant (2002) and Kennedy (2003) should be considered complete busts. You might put Ponder (2011) in that category, but there is still time. Same with Hayden, who had an awful 2013 rookie season.
The only point here is that no matter which direction they chose to go with the 12th pick the Giants should expect to come out of the draft with a player who ends up as an impact player for many years to come.