FanPost

Assessing Kevin Gilbride - Numbers may not lie but they can mislead

Our fearless leader Ed Valentine recently posted some statistics that would lead you to believe the Giants had a great offense this year and that Kevin Gilbride has been unfairly criticized. They scored 429 points and were 6th in ppg at 26.8 (I know Ed lists them 5th but nfl.com says 6th). The team with numbers most similar to theirs was Green Bay. They scored 433 points and were 5th at 27.1 ppg. So, these teams had equally good offenses right? Wrong! The problem with the Giants offense was consistency. I think it's fair to say you need to score more than 20 points to have a good chance of winning a game in the modern pass happy NFL. So, we will consider any game in which the offense scores more than 20 points a successful outing. The good news is the Giants scored over 40 points four times! Here is the bad news: the Giants scored 20 points or less in seven games and they lost all seven of those games. That means the offense was successful in 56.25% of its outings. They scored 332 points (77.4% of the total, 36.9 ppg) in nine games and only 97 points (22.6% of the total, 13.9 ppg) in the other seven. Green Bay by contrast scored more than 40 twice and 20 or less only two times. Their offense was successful in 87.5% of its outings. They lost both games where they failed to break 20 and were 11-3 in the games they did. Scoring more than 20 points does not guarantee a win but scoring less than 20 nearly guarantees a loss in the modern NFL. Some may be tempted to use injuries as an excuse for the Giants inconsistency but Green Bay had plenty of injuries also. They lost their starting RB, Cedric Benson, early in the year . Greg Jennings missed eight games, Jordy Nelson missed four, and Randall Cobb missed one in their receiving corps. The Green Bay offense, however, was fairly consistent and reliable. The bottom line is that Kevin Gilbride's unit was highly inconsistent. The highs were very high but unfortunately the lows were too low and too frequent to expect to make the playoffs. The offense only gave the Giants a good chance to win a little over half of the time it took the field. Therefore, criticism of Kevin Gilbride is fair and justified despite the nice season totals and averages.

FanPosts are written by community members. This is simply a way for community members to express opinions too long to be contained in a comment.

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