For those of you not obsessed with the draft, you may not be familiar with the work of AdamJT13. He is, as far as I know, the only person that has ever done original work to figure out the method the NFL uses to award compensatory draft picks. Since his blog is quiet this year, I decided to use the information he posted to make my own educated guesses about comp picks.
And lo and behold, it looks like the Giants should get 2 picks! I believe that we will get a 5th rounder for Fred Robbins and a 6th rounder for David Carr. In the worst-case scenario we should get a 6th and 7th.
Both players are eligible for consideration because they were unrestricted free agents that were not cut by the Giants. Salary is the primary factor in determining value, followed by playing time. Robbins signed with St. Louis for 3 years / $12 million, which is right on AdamJT13's borderline of 5th/6th round value. The fact that Robbins started all 16 games should give him a 5th round value. Carr signed with San Fran for 2 years / $6.2 million, which is in the middle of the 6th round value segment, which should give us breathing room because Carr only played in one game.
And now we give Reese a pat on the back. You lose a potential comp pick if you sign an eligible player during the free agent signing period, which last year ended on July 23. We signed Keith Bulluck on July 24. This timing saves us the Carr pick, as Bulluck's $1.1 million salary would have taken off the lower of our two picks.
No other players figured in the comp plan equations. Ineligible players were as follows:
Kevin Dockery - non-tendered RFA
CC Brown - non-tendered RFA
Practice squadders - no rights
Bryan Kehl - cut
Danny Clark - cut by new team (Houston)
Deon Grant - cut by Seattle
Antrel Rolle - cut by Arizona
Shawn Andrews - cut by Philly
Jamon Meredith - cut by everybody
Devin Thomas - cut by Carolina
Michael Clayton - cut by Tampa Bay