I live in New England, about 45 minutes outside of Foxborough, where the Giants will be visiting the Patriots this coming Sunday. When I first checked last night, the Giants were listed as 9 point underdogs. If I were a betting man (if you're daring enough to bet on the Giants), I'd turn that slap in the face into cash. Do it. Don't ask questions. Giants fans don't press buttons. Karma bites us hard and often. This is not one of those occasions. I have a good feeling.
I wore my "GIANT WIN" Super Bowl shirt today. I was told within ten minutes of being out and about that somebody wanted to take my shirt, throw it on the ground and piss on it. I laughed. It's Halloween. Eli Manning pumping his fists in celebration is a scary sight around here.
So, what are we looking at? Why do I think the Giants will win? We don't just have good karma on our side. We match-up pretty well with the Patriots. Now, I know most of you are thinking that the Pats don't lose back-to-back games or this or that, but they also don't lose to the Steelers very often either. They've looked very mediocre over the past couple of games.
Total Offense: 3rd
Passing Offense: 2nd
Rushing Offense: 18th
Total Defense: 32nd
Rush Defense: 8th
Pass Defense: 32nd
The Pats are ranked 8th in run defense. How many of you would have guessed that? That says something about that 32nd ranked pass defense, and that it's not just really bad, it's really, really bad. Considering the success the Giants have had passing the ball, I like this. The Pats have been decent running the ball, but hopefully we can get some hits on Brady. We've rattled him before, and I think we can do it again. The only way we're going to win this is by getting hits on Brady, and lots of them. Our coverage isn't that impressive (the understatement of the year). With the way the Pats move Welker around, it will be hard to man CWeb up on Welker all of the time. And then there are numerous other weapons Brady has at his disposal.
I've watched most of the Pats games this year, and the one thing their defense seems to do is get a key turnover at the right time. They let opponents tear them to shreds, but get that one or two picks to give Brady the advantage. The Pats are +1 in the turnover differential column. The Giants are, believe it or not, are +4. And the Giants have Eli Manning, Interception Machine, under center.
We play a clean game offensively, and I think we take this one. The Pats defense can't stop a nosebleed. If we don't turn the ball over, I think we take this away from them. Our defense has been terrible at times, but I think we can get some pressure on Brady and give our offense more chances to take this one.