FanPost

Eli Manning Forecast

I did a post last week about how Eli's numbers are projecting for the year. Here's the weekly update for his 2011 pace. We can call it the "Pulse of Eli" or something cornier if anybody has suggestions. 

On pace: 333/523 (63.8%) / 4,741 yards / 29 TD / 13 INT / 9.1 (ypa)

The YPA (yards-per-attempt) is a really underrated stat, in my opinion. Quarterbacks in pass-happy offenses will have a lower YPA, despite putting up impressive yardage. For example, in Drew Brees' 5,069 yard season, his YPA was just 8.0, which isn't bad by any means, but still, speaks to New Orleans' pass-only mentality. If you look at Peyton Manning's 2004 season, his YPA is right there with Eli's in this season. Higher YPA means that your quarterback is hitting bigger throws

Speaking of Brees and interception machines, he's on pace for a 21 INT season, coming off of a 22 INT season. 

You know who else is on pace to throw 21 picks? Tom Brady. I wonder if Tommy T is going to be calling Eli up and asking for ball security pointers. 

Interception machine? Ha! I think not.

 

NOTE: Eli's touchdown pace would be a little bit better had Manningham hauled in a perfectly thrown pass, and then there was that pass play where the ball just could not be stretch over the plane. I frown upon these crippling blows to Manning's stats. 

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