'Over & Under': Interceptions Edition
by Ed Valentine on Jul 28, 2010 7:00 AM EDT
in News
44 comments
A little bit of a 'change-up' in our New York Giants 'Over & Under' game today. Let's look at a particular defensive statistic.
The Giants were 22nd in the league in 2009 with only 13 interceptions. In fact, interceptions have not been a forte of the Giants' defense the past few seasons -- 17 in 2008, 15 in 2007 and 17 in 2006. Each season there are 6-8 teams who grab 20 or more interceptions, and Green Bay had 30 last season.
The Buffalo Bills had 28 pickoffs in 2009 with Perry Fewell, now the Giants' defensive coordinator, running the defense. They had only 10 in 2008, by the way.
So, what will the Giants do this season? The secondary is revamped. Free agents Antrel Rolle, Deon Grant and -- we hope -- Kenny Phillips are at safety. Terrell Thomas is on the verge of becoming a top-tier cornerback, and Aaron Ross and Corey Webster are healthier than they were last season.
Let's set the 'Over/Under' number at 17, which is the most interceptions the Giants have had in any of the last four seasons. I'm taking the 'Over' on this one.
How about you?
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Hard not to pick the OVER on this one...
The Bills have a less talented Secondary overall compared to the Giants…but I will hold myself back from saying 30 or something like that…although, can you just imagine something ridiculous like that??? Damn, I played Safety and Corner back in HS… that would be a nice number of interceptions if the Giants get there…but I’ll take a more conservative round # like 20 :)
Opus smart , lascivio magis , intereo gauisus...
hmmmmm
I’ll take 24 INTs Ed, based on Bulluck’s interception ability
by nygblue on Jul 28, 2010 7:09 AM EDT via mobile reply actions
well this is the NFC beast
no matter how the nfl ranks this division. (dont know how it goes from being the best div in football to a mostly below avg div in one year..)but the comp in this div is fierce, and i wouldnt expect a +18 differential of last year…
After seeing that the bills went from 10 to 28 in one year says a hell of a lot about P.Fuel. And makes it almost impossible to say taht we will get less than 17 ints.. so OVER!!
Toney does what the douglas do. And no one can do what he does b/c doing it without being Toney Douglas just doesnt make it do what it do
Over, 20 INTs seems like an optimistic, yet not completely impossible goal
With the caveat that we have at least 2 healthy starting-caliber DEs and 2 healthy serviceable safeties for all 16 games. If Michael Johnson or JPP end up as starters this season, all bets are off.
They face some tough competition this year
I say OVER (barely).
over
Good pass rush healthy deep backs easily over
by omfGIANTS on Jul 28, 2010 8:05 AM EDT via mobile reply actions
The Line
I think Linval Joseph comes down with 3 INTs, including at least one TD run of over 60 yards. BIG MAN WITH FOOTBALL!!!!
Over, no doubt about it.
the D will be better overall as it is. Fewell’s specialty throughout his coaching career has been forcing INT’s.
Go New York Go!
Under...
Hard to throw INTs when you’re on your ass.
"With the game on the line. I want the ball in my hands."
-E
by tito (eight and oh) on Jul 28, 2010 8:50 AM EDT reply actions
+1000000
Regroup refocus..retool...
by Mr.Williams on Jul 28, 2010 8:57 AM EDT via mobile up reply actions
But........
pressuring the QB equates to ill-advised passes resulting in INTs. IMO most INTs are caused when the QB is under pressure.
That is, of course, true.
However, did teh Giants not lead the league in sacks in ’07? Or was it ’08? Either way, according to Ed we have not had an 18 INT year in the last 4 years.
I hope they prove me wrong, but even if they don’t that doesn’t mean we can’t be a top 5 defense.
"With the game on the line. I want the ball in my hands."
-E
by tito (eight and oh) on Jul 28, 2010 10:27 AM EDT up reply actions
It was 07.....
in 08 i believe the Steelers led the way
by bleedblue12 on Jul 28, 2010 12:12 PM EDT up reply actions
Thank you much
"With the game on the line. I want the ball in my hands."
-E
by tito (eight and oh) on Jul 28, 2010 1:04 PM EDT up reply actions
Over
With the upgrade in talent and coaching, it should be over. Anyone know the average number of interceptions all teams combined?
Shouldn't be to hard to find out...
(Looks Up)
16.41
Didn’t double check my math, feel free to do so.
"With the game on the line. I want the ball in my hands."
-E
by tito (eight and oh) on Jul 28, 2010 9:02 AM EDT up reply actions
Thanks Tito
for obliging my laziness. Appears the Giants were average last year. Surely we’ll be better than average this year.
Overall we will no doubt.
But keep in mind the ’07 Giants had only 15 picks, so good defense does not necessarily equal interceptions.
"With the game on the line. I want the ball in my hands."
-E
by tito (eight and oh) on Jul 28, 2010 9:38 AM EDT up reply actions
The last 5 years
excluding the playoffs the league has averaged 511 INT per season or 16 per team per season
I'll take over as well
I think 20 is a very feasible number considering the talent we have on defense. This, however, will not happen without a pass rush. I’ll pick a solid number at 21.
by YankeeDudeL on Jul 28, 2010 8:58 AM EDT via mobile reply actions
I will take the over
I dont think they will approach the 30 mark like the Packers, but I think somewhere between 18-22. I also think they will force more fumbles this year and be in the top 5 to 10 teams in forcing turnovers.
Over
The pass rush is definitely the key. We’ve got a few matchups against poor to average O-lines (Skins, seahawks, lions, jags, bears) a few against inexperienced QBs (Kolb,Stafford) and a couple of potential interception monsters in Favre and Cutler. Not to mention the improvements in personnel and the addition of Fewell.
OVER
our pass rush is going to play a HUGE factor in this, but I also believe with more athletisicm in the backfield we’ll be ball hawking like the plague
Did the plague ball hawk?
-Say man when I was growing up we wanted a Jacuzzi, we had to fart in the tub.
UNDER
…….SIKE!!! over is realistic – I’ll say minimum 20
by total hermination on Jul 28, 2010 10:19 AM EDT reply actions
OVER
With the new DC I suspect the D will be more ball hawking.
PUSH
hahaha
seriously though….OVER.
We actually have Safeties this year.
"Throw the damn ball to Kevin Boss" - Andiamo708
The last time
the Giants had more than 17 INTs was 2000. During the same period they equaled 17 three times. In 21 seasons dating back to the 1989 season they had more than 17 INTs during seven seasons. The most was 1997 when they had 27 INTs.
Over
by a landslide, im going to go out on a limb and shoot for 25INTs, i could use a few extra shots of JD this year
by KP21andCompany on Jul 28, 2010 11:00 AM EDT reply actions
UNDER,
although it is not the quantity of INTs but the quality of picks that i am concerned about. Game winners, tie breakers and lead takers. I say under but the will be quality.
A game of Chess is like a sword fight....you must think first....before you move.
by LoNJDTechnology on Jul 28, 2010 11:05 AM EDT reply actions
Game winners, tie breakers and lead takers.
A.K.A., big plays.
by Step up and make big plays on Aug 1, 2010 3:28 AM EDT up reply actions
The Over
It’s an easy choice when you remember Can’t Cover Brown and the preposterous lapses that occurred last year. Additionally, I pray that we are able to put more pressure on opposing QBs especially within our division. don’t orget we have a bunch of revamped offensive lines to work on and the yield of sacks and ints should be in our favor.
The Giants play
many passing offenses. Houston, Philly 2X, Dallas 2X, Indy, Chicago, and GB. Washington will be passing more. Minn. passes plenty with Favre.
With an improved pass rush, better safeties, and a coach who specializes in the secondary, it has to be over.
Over/Under Cutler for 4 picks?
Probably under unless you count those out of bounds
Go New York Go!
by FreeBradshaw on Jul 28, 2010 12:45 PM EDT up reply actions
Over...We'll get beat for some long touchdowns again this year...
but at least some of them will be on gambles that result in either interceptions or giving up the big play. Fewell has some people in the secondary with hands, he encourages an aggressive – to the ball defense and I’d expect an increase in intereceptions. The downside is giving up the long TD, but we gave those up last year when our defenders weren’t even in the same area code, so I see it as a much improved situation.
with fewell
definitely over
YOU CAN PUTITONTHEBOARD YES! mercy
over
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