Fantasy Football Friday: Giants Preview
I would give you all an update on the Big Blue View League, but there's nothing to update yet - the draft is scheduled for Monday night. In lieu of that (and at the risk of giving away part of my draft strategy), I figured I'd give you guys my own personal preview of the fantasy implications for our 2009 New York Giants.
Players To Target:
Ahmad Bradshaw - I wrote a piece back in July about my optimism over the running backs not named Brandon Jacobs, and the injury to Andre Brown hasn't dampened my enthusiasm. While I also like Danny Ware, he's a third stringer who isn't going to make much of a fantasy impact. Bradshaw, on the other hand, figures to get most of the playing time that Derek Ward got a year ago, with which Ward racked up 1,000+ yards rushing and 384 yards receiving. I think Bradshaw is a more talented running back than Ward, both out of the backfield and catching the ball. Couple that with the fact that Brandon Jacobs always gets nicked up and is no guarantee to make it through 16 games, and I think #44 is one of the best fantasy sleepers in the whole NFL.
Hakeem Nicks - If you've been paying attention the past two weeks, this shouldn't surprise you. Nicks has looked like the real deal, catching 3 impressive touchdown's against the Jets and Patriots. Nicks is going undrafted in a lot of leagues, and would be a great waiver wire pickup to replace the Isaac Bruce's of the world - especially in keeper leagues. Nicks has the potential to step up and have a big year right off the bat, and it probably wouldn't hurt to have him at the back of your bench.
Kevin Boss - I've said a few times this offseason that I wouldn't be at all surprised if Boss leads the team in receptions this year, and I fully expect him to lead the team in receiving touchdowns, as he did last year. Boss has solid hands, is a good route runner, and is more athletic than people give him credit for. He's not in the Jason Witten/Tony Gonzalez/Antonio Gates group of tight ends, but I don't think I'm being too big a homer to say he's already in the next group down (he was 3rd in TE touchdown's last year). If there's a run on tight ends and you miss out on the top guys, don't feel bad about waiting a few rounds and coming up with a steal in the Boss Man.
Players to Avoid
Eli Manning - You love the guy. I love the guy. Everyone else hates him. He's got a ring, a Super Bowl MVP, and a big payday. He just finds ways to win football games. All of the above is true. It's also irrelevant when it comes to fantasy football. The fact of the matter is that Eli is just not a top 12 fantasy quarterback. The Giants are a run first, run second, and if it's short enough, run third type of team (except in the playoffs in bad...never mind, I won't go there). Eli just doesn't rack up enough yards or touchdowns to justify making him your starter. As a backup he's not a bad choice, but don't pin your fantasy hopes on his shoulder.
Giants Defense - This one is going to be controversial, and in fact should probably go in the next category, but I've done a few mock drafts and one real one this year, and in every one the Giants defense was taken too high. Avoid the temptation. It's not that I think the Giants D will be bad - far from it. I just don't think they're worth taking in the 10th round, which is generally where they've been going. Last year they were the 10th best fantasy D, finishing behind some teams that are actually going undrafted in some leagues. My personal strategy is never to take a defense before the last two rounds, because I just don't think the value is high enough, and the Giants are no exception. I also usually try to avoid the Giants D for more selfish reasons - I already hate it when teams score against them in real life, why double my torture by having them on my fantasy team?
Players to Take If They Fall to You
Brandon Jacobs - Jacobs is quite possibly my favorite Giants running back ever, and there's nobody in the NFL I enjoy watching more. That said, I just don't feel comfortable taking him in the first round and basically pinning my fantasy hopes on the guy. He is injury prone, he is part of a running back platoon, and he's not exactly Marshall Faulk when it comes to the passing game. That's 3 pretty big strikes against a guy who's going in the 1st round of a lot of drafts. Now, if your second pick comes around and Jacobs is still on the board, by all means go ahead and take him. That's why he's in this category and not the one above.
Domenik Hixon - I honestly don't know what to expect from Hixon this year. I wouldn't be surprised if Nicks became the go-to guy before long, but I also wouldn't be surprised if Hixon ends up having a breakout year. In a lot of ways, his dropped pass against the Eagles last year is sorta representative of how I feel about Hixon this year: I loved that he was able to get so open, but I hated that he dropped the ball. Similarly, for fantasy purposes, I love that Hixon is the #1 receiver with unquestionable physical skills, but I hate that he's been inconsistent on the field and hasn't had a "blow me away" type of preseason. If Hixon is still available as you're picking your final wide receiver in the 12th or 13th round, go for it. If you're taking him before that, I'd pass. I'm not going to write another paragraph, but I feel pretty much the same way about Steve Smith, who I think will have more receptions but less yards than Hixon, and who's role on the team is less in jeapordy if Nicks really does break out.
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Comments
Agree with all
My only addition would be Steve Smith in category 3. I’ve drafted in 3 leagues, and in each one he’s either been wildly overrated (7th or 8th round), or wildliy underrated (last round, or undrafted). This guy will put up, at least, #2 WR #s on the Giants, which should translate into #3 WR #’s in fantasy.
"We're only going to score 17 points?" ~ Tom Brady
by mwilli on Sep 4, 2009 1:23 PM EDT reply actions 0 recs
I love Boss, esp. in a 12 team league
He’s a great target as an upside TE. While other guys are taking Gonzo/Witten/Gates or Cooley/Daniels/Miller, pick some RB who will give you depth and keep you going if you have an injury to your earlier studs. Take Boss in round 11 or 12 and enjoy the TD and – hopefully – increased yardage that will come with more targets this season.
And NEVER EVER EVER EVER EVER EVER EVER EVER EVER draft a kicker before the final round.
Just….just don’t do it.
by dELIghtful on Sep 4, 2009 2:11 PM EDT reply actions 0 recs
CJ
What site are we doing the league with?
I never got my invitation if they have been sent?
by Woogie526 on Sep 4, 2009 2:26 PM EDT reply actions 0 recs
that's weird
It’s FleaFlicker – I’ve tried to send out invitations a few times, I’ve been having some problems with the website (it deleted my first two leagues for some reason, and now this), let me try to fix it.
by cjmulrain on Sep 4, 2009 9:43 PM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
send the defending champ
an invite!
by DoctorK16 on Sep 4, 2009 11:31 PM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
Bradshaw/Nicks
I drafted Bradshaw in the 14th rd then got Nicks as a free agent(Dropped our Steve Smith for him). Got Smith in the last RD. Boss is available but we dont have to use a TE it can be a WR also(Slash WR/TE).
by gobs56 on Sep 4, 2009 3:25 PM EDT reply actions 0 recs
you hit the nail on the head
there was a mad rush for tight ends in the middle rounds, i basically waited it out, picked up an extra quality wr when everyone else was taking tight ends, and was left with a very respectable decision to choose between kevin boss and visanthe shiancoe in the 16th round.
bottom line, with the depth at TE this year, waiting for boss is a great move which allows you to pick up more depth at other positions.
also got nicks as a free agent. some giants seem to be very underrated, while others are very overrated. it’ll be interesting to see who wins out in the nicks/hixon battle, as hixon was taken in the 12th round in my league.
by hocke26 on Sep 4, 2009 4:09 PM EDT reply actions 0 recs

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