Fantasy Friday: Giants vs. Cowboys
I think I've settled on a format for the Fantasy Friday posts that I like: from here on out, I'll give you a fantasy preview of the Giants upcoming game. So this week, let's take a look at the Giants-Cowboys matchups.
Cowboys: It's been well-documented that Tony Romo has had success against the Giants in the past (at least in the regular season). The Cowboys are 4-0 in Romo's regular season starts against the Giants, and in the last 3 of those, here are Romo's stats: 345 yards, 4 TDs, 1 INT; 247 yards, 4 TDs, 1 INT; 244 yards 2 TDs, 0 INT. Hate the guy all you want, but he's a great fantasy quarterback and he always brings it against the Giants. If you have him on your fantasy team, he should be starting anyway, but definitely play him this weekend.
Another one to definitely start is Jason Witten. Like with Romo, he's one of the top fantasy players at his position and should be starting anyway, but he's also got a good matchup with the Giants. As we all know, the Giants have a great pass rush, but the linebackers have some trouble with the passing game over the middle. Chris Cooley was one of the few Redskins who had a good game last week, and Witten does everything Cooley does just a little bit better. Expect to see a lot of frustrating completions to him over the middle.
As far as running backs and receivers are concerned, I'd be wary about starting Marion Barber. The Giants have had a lot of success against him in the past, holding him under 3 yards per carry in 3 of their last 4 matchups. He's never had 100 yards rushing against the Giants, who seem to have success against north-south runners like Barber. On the other hand, if you have a flex spot or are weak at running back, I'd definitely take a chance with Felix Jones. He might not pick up a ton of yards on the ground, but like Witten I could see him exploiting our linebackers with dump off passes. Jones reminds me of a younger, faster Brian Westbrook and could be set to have a good game. I'd be worried if I were relying on Roy Williams at wideout - Corey Webster shut down Santana Moss last week, and Moss is a better receiver than Williams. However, with the Giants hurting in the secondary, I could see Patrick Crayton having a decent game. I wouldn't want to count on him, but if you're desperate for a receiver to start, I'd go with him over Williams.
Finally, the Cowboys defense. This is a tough one, because in most of their recent matchups, the Giants have put up a lot of points. However, in their last matchup the Giants were held to only 8, and Eli served as a pinata for DeMarcus Ware. I expect this game to be more of a shootout, but it wouldn't surprise me if the Cowboys got a few sacks and forced a turnover or two. If you carry two defenses and the other one is playing a team like the Rams or the Bengals, start that one. Otherwise, just stick with the Cowboys - at least if they lose you your fantasy game it means the Giants had a good day!
Giants - I'll say it right off the bat - don't count on any of the Giants receivers. Steve Smith is probably the best bet, but even with his big game last week he wasn't a fantasy monster. Manningham was actually the Giants top fantasy receiver, but he disappeared in the second half. It wouldn't surprise me at all if Hixon was the top fantasy guy this week, or if the Giants spread the ball around so much that they don't have any really valuable fantasy guys. I'd wait a few more weeks to see if any one guy steps up as a "go-to" guy before relying too heavily on any of our wide receivers. They're all really good on a football field, but that doesn't make them good for fantasy. As for Eli, if he's your starter, start him, if he's not, don't. I think he's going to have a good day, but unless your starter is facing a really tough matchup, it's probably better just to stick with him this early in the season.
I do think Kevin Boss will have a good game, for many of the same reasons I think Witten will for the Cowboys. I also would start Brandon Jacobs, no questions asked, and would probably start Ahmad Bradshaw, especially if you have a flex option. I'm gonna steal a line from ESPN's Matthew Berry, but both Cadillac Williams and Derrick Ward had good games against the Cowboys, and they're not as good as Jacobs and Bradshaw, nor do the Bucs have as good a line. I see the Giants racking up a lot of yards on the ground this weekend.
Finally, much of what I said about the Cowboys defense applies to the Giants. Tony Romo is one of the trickiest QB's in the league to sack, which I think is why he has such good games against the Giants. I think the Giants will probably get to him once or twice, and I fully expect a turnover, but I also expect the Cowboys to put up a lot of points. The only difference with the Giants defense and the Cowboys is that if the Giants cost you your fantasy game, you'll be pissed off for two reasons.
Final Score prediction: 35-31 Giants (which means the real final score will probably be 6-3.
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16 comments
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Comments
good stuff
Nice analysis, and sound advice. Me, I have big boy on my team, and he’s entrenched Into the starting lineup. No hated ‘girls on my team(although I’ve had witten in the past; truly a special talent). Good luck this week in fantasy land!
by wilddre22 on Sep 18, 2009 1:57 PM EDT via mobile reply actions 0 recs
Starting Romo
Terrible I know..but if you want to be a winner in fantasy you have to separate your loyalty to your team with the business of individual talent. Also, it acts as a hedge against any Giants meltdown. It’s a $200 buy in league guys, don’t judge me!
That said, I’ll always take a Giants win over fantasy production! Run the ’boys over in their own house!
by edzilla on Sep 18, 2009 2:10 PM EDT reply actions 0 recs
witten
We’ll see if Boley can help shut Witten down. I’m really curious to see how he plays. I hope he has a monster game.
by M. on Sep 18, 2009 3:09 PM EDT reply actions 0 recs
no LB can shut down Witten...impossible
In Romo we Trust
by Terry on Sep 18, 2009 3:11 PM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
Pierce vs Bennett...can you say mismatch?
by CaliFanInTx on Sep 18, 2009 3:25 PM EDT reply actions 0 recs
if it happenes...
yea.
What the f$%k is the internet?
by FreeBradshaw on Sep 19, 2009 9:01 AM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
Secondary is our achilles heel.
Sad, but the Giants have been hit with an injury bug - prevalent since training camp -
that will factor largely for at least the first half of the season, Their prized aquisitions — needed to keep the d-line fresh, not so good on that front, so that puts more pressure on a secondary that seems to be cursed at the moment.
Cowboys: 31-13.
you heard it here first.
by ZILLAG on Sep 18, 2009 4:00 PM EDT reply actions 0 recs
final scorel
I can see the Cowboys scoring 31(although I doubt it) points but no way do we only score 13. We scored more than that against Washington’s superior defense, and that was without all the touchdowns we could have had.
by hopeforthefuture3 on Sep 18, 2009 4:18 PM EDT reply actions 0 recs
wow
I wrote a lot more than I thought I did haha. Next week I’ll try to make it a little shorter, and maybe throw a picture or two in there to break up the wall of text.
by cjmulrain on Sep 18, 2009 5:46 PM EDT reply actions 0 recs
That's too funny!
I read it from top to bottom. I didn’t think it was to long. When your dealing with analysis, forecast etc… you have to cover all your bases that come to you when writing. Then let other’s chip in with this or that! But, out of personal preference, the fantasy world needs to rid itself of the team-D concept. I’ve been playing FFB with IDP’s for almost 20 years and it’s great. I’m talking about a full 3-4 (11 man) D!!! You seem to get more out of the nuts and bolts of a team (the individuals), vs. a team as a group!
Anyone heard of Tyvon Branch, Gary Guyton or even Keith Ellison? Heck, i’ll even throw in Justin Durant! It make’s it alot more interesting when it’s per player!!! ;)
Nice job too.
by Hootman on Sep 18, 2009 7:01 PM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
start romo?
i mean maybe but i went out of my way to make sure i had no non-giant NFC east players on my team. i would probably bench romo anyway. there are always starting QBs to pick up on the waiver. i like the WR analysis though. i’m starting hixon, unfortunately as #2 WR because all my receivers are ass. hopefully eli will carve up the cowboys doo doo secondary and hixon will eat up their soft coverage like delicious cake om nom nom.
Lets hope that when gut check time comes again the Mets will pass it with flying colors.
by kendynamo on Sep 19, 2009 12:46 AM EDT reply actions 0 recs
All I have to say is See Ya Monday!!
Let’s talk about the last game,a regular season game,like this one.
Only 2/3rds of the vaunted Earth,Wind and Fire could show up because as usual he was hurt. Now I would have thought that Wind and Fire would be more than enough to run the gameplan. But come to find out Tashard Choice was the best RB on the field against a top 5 overall defense out rushing both of your RBs combined…Hmmm..I don’ think Ware’s ever gone 2 games without a sack, but like he say’s they come in bunches….Unfortunately for Eli he’s right!!
Enjoy! see ya Monday!
by psychodad on Sep 19, 2009 12:46 AM EDT reply actions 0 recs
Giants and Cowboys
Giants 20, Cowboys 17. Or the other way around if the Giants continue with the red zone
failures. Cowboys will play with the highest intensity the Giants better do the same.
other wise it will be another slaughter.
by Olddiehard on Sep 19, 2009 4:36 AM EDT reply actions 0 recs

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